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Omtale
Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics.
Detaljer
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Utgivelsesdato:
23.09.2010
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ISBN/Varenr:
9780521764544
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Språk:
, Engelsk
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Forlag:
Cambridge University Press
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Fagtema:
Matematikk og naturvitenskap
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Litteraturtype:
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Sider:
348
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Høyde:
25.3 cm
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Bredde:
18.2 cm